Or in other words, you may want to bring extra beverages.

Here is the current discussion, the site is in the interior (not coast):

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION..FINAL MID SHIFT
National Weather Service Taunton MA
625 AM EDT Wed May 19 2004

Very large forecast temp error potential developing this weekend/early next week for sne (especially Boston area)

Pattern: Confidence very low on [forecast] high temperatures this weekend with 30 degree errors possible on a day 2 fcst [Sunday].

Overall the day to day runs of the normalized Canadian 10 day [ensemble continue] steadfast for a continuation of the significantly warmer than normal pattern. Successive 12z/00z gfs ensembles and gfs [operational] runs are osscilating hot and cool for this [weekend] into early next week though the 850mb trend is warming for a day or 2 in the 3 day prd Sat-Mon. 00Z/19 gfs/ukmet/ggem runs all suggest early summer warmth and humidity for Saturday (at least the interior) and possibly again Monday whereas ecmwf keeps us chilly and possibly wet.

This May relate to subtle differences in the path and intensity of the 500 mb cold pool crossing the labrador highlands and upstream short wave interactions with the [northern] stream.

While the answers wont be in til next Monday 5/24 we Hope to have trended correctly this morning with 00z multi model consensus and warmed temperatures significantly Saturday and also at night from Fri night thru Sunday night with winds shifted from E to S-SW On Saturday. Even warmer adjustments May be needed in future issuances, esp the 00z/19 gfs ensembles which are becoming more and more coherent for a strong thrust of 90+ heat toward sne (at least bdl-Cef and possibly fit) this wknd. Yet the 06z eta is definitely warmer now than its 00z predecessor which was already hinting warm.

This pattern also hints strongly at thunderstorm clusters at times. the 00z/19 gfs ens pops are mostly north of our area and the timing uncertain. Rain could be heavy if storms track through sne.

Friday, could be the pick of the week! quite a nice day for comfortable warmth!

Saturday, could be 91 at Boston or 58 depending on wind direction and any shower timing. CT Rvr Valley Seems more certain to warm to at least 78F if not near 90F. Quite unstable on the gfs in the aftn/night!

I guess we'll find out what's in store. Hopefully we'll get nice weather and NO RAIN!!!

I want to go to an event, for once, that DOESN'T RAIN. I swear I bring it with me.

California 1998: Rain, sleet, fog, drizzle, SNOW. (it was November and on the side of a mountain)

Marietta: 2003 (major rainstorm blew through on our end, we didn't go)

Paston Palooza: 2003 (RAIN, torrential downpour was more like it).

Calais: 30 degree temp variables and possibility of... you guessed it... RAIN or the chance of Thunderstorms and I don't think we'll have a lean to for the horses to take shelter under.

Jenn

--------------------

A couple of comfortable days are at hand before heat, high humidity and thunderstorms make a run for New England this weekend.

The weekend will find a strong frontal boundary stretched from the Great Lakes into New England with several waves of low pressure moving along it. This front will be the focus of potentially heavy showers and thunderstorms. Timing and location of these showers and storms in New England is uncertain. The contrast in air masses May result in a very large range of temperatures here, across southern and central New England. For now, count on humid weather for the weekend with the warmest temperatures in the Connecticut River Valley.
Friday. Partly cloudy. Highs around 80. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

Friday night. Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Light and variable winds.

Saturday. Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around 10 mph. Becoming southwest in the afternoon. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Saturday night. Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Areas of fog. Lows in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Sunday. Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Areas of fog in the morning. Highs in the lower 70s.

well, Friday started off well... Sunny, nice breeze, not too bad heat wise. Then it began to rain somewhere around 1:30 in the morning. (#@&$)&#@!

As for me, I had to leave the event at around 3 pm on Saturday due to an equine injury. So I got to miss out on the tactical and the food.

I have heard that the tactical went off well...I am now awaiting the first reports. I hope everyone had fun and that their spirits weren't too dampened by the weather.

A special thanks to Brent and Kyle who made the long haul from Texas only to find another rainy event weekend.

--------------------

couldn't find the event!

i couldn't plan on attending because of an increadible scheadule conflict (sorry Brent). however, i got bumped to another flight and had an extra day in Boston. so i rented a car and tried to trek out to say hello before driving back to Logan.

i must say that i'm kinda kicking myself in the butt for not attending. the weather was very delightful, at least for me who had come up from the sweltering depth of south FL. plus, i must say that the country looked increadible!!!

i really hope that y'all had a great time and that everything went well. can't wait to see pics.

daniel

--------------------

Db